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Will YIMBY Create Increased Condo Demand?

Juliana Lee Team · January 10, 2025 ·

A recent look at YIMBY vs NIMBY said that a person’s attitude about high-density housing was strongly affected by how urban centers were widely viewed when that person was about 18. Boomers were about 18 years old at a time when urban centers had numerous problems reported. When other generations were 18, urban life was viewed as having more activities, parties, and nightlife. Other generations were 18 when suburbs were claimed to be resource-wasteful and caused excessive ecological damage.

Currently Silicon Valley house prices are growing faster than Silicon Valley condo prices. This could be due to a different proportion of renters vs owners for condos vs. houses. It could be due to houses typically being larger than condos.

It should be noted that increased mortgage interest rates have increased the cost of buying a condo. Flat prices do not mean demand is falling.

Will the attitudes of new generations drive the demand for condos and thus their prices up? More discussion is posted at https://julianalee.com/blog/nimby-yimby-condo-demand/

Bay Area Rents See Biggest Drop?

Juliana Lee Team · September 21, 2023 ·

Although JLee Realty does not handle rental properties for clients, we watch what is happening in it to better understand Santa Clara real estate. On Sept 17, 2023, the San Jose Mercury News published an article titled “Bay Area rents see biggest drop in 27 months“. The article presents the ease of finding a one-bedroom apartment near Lake Merritt. The article cites ApartmentList.com as a source for the trends they cite, including a 3.1% year-over-year decline for the San Jose/Sunnyvale/Santa Clara metro area.

The housing rental market has weakened, but the headline could create a misleading impression. The sky is not falling for the rental market. Look at the graph below created by Zumper.com.

The peak rental price for a 2-bedroom apartment was reached in Aug-Sept of 2022. The “biggest drop” is being calculated from a price peak and isn’t a good choice for judging long-term trends. I’m looking at two-bedroom rental trends because a prospective home buyer or seller is not likely to use a one-bedroom apartment as an alternative to a house or townhouse. Zumper reports current near-record rental prices for 3-bedroom apartments.

The general trend we are seeing is that one-bedroom housing does not have strong demand. Nothing appears to be happening that will lead to lower housing costs. “Affordable housing” proposals seem to be focused on small housing units that are not wanted by anyone who can afford an alternative. House prices have dropped from their peak at the beginning of 2022. Other than that peak driven by interest rate changes, prices have been relatively flat, which means the typical costs actually paid by buyers are increasing because of increased interest rates.

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